Scenario Analysis and Stress Testing
Use NGFS scenarios for macro shocks while bottom-up modeling translates energy system pathways into issuer revenues, costs, and balance sheets. Cross-check results against historical stress periods to validate assumptions and elasticities credibly.
Scenario Analysis and Stress Testing
Complement returns-based stress tests with Carbon VaR, temperature alignment, and financed emissions. Express results as ranges with confidence levels, clarifying uncertainty while highlighting decisions that remain robust across plausible scenario envelopes.